Tampilkan postingan dengan label No Stop-Loss. Tampilkan semua postingan
Tampilkan postingan dengan label No Stop-Loss. Tampilkan semua postingan

Kamis, 05 April 2018

Multiple Exit Methods On Closing A Trade

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Is closing a trade still a mystery to you? Maybe you have been thinking how to really plan on closing a trade to maximize profit. Many discussions about Forex Trading have put so much attention and focus on how to enter a trade. You will see thousand of ways on how to analyze the chart technically and interpret the news for fundamental analysis for a good and proper trade entry. If analyzing the entry is a difficult task to do, to most of the traders, planning the exit is even more difficult. In analyzing and conceptualizing of achieving a successful exit, the basis of the exit should be in agreement exactly with the entry plan. Aligned. The reason for the exit should be well thought and doesn't rely on a simple Stop-Loss or Hedge (when trading without Stop-Loss).

In this post we will discuss overview of the different exit plans that you can do to close a trade. With a pinch of creativity, you can explore different ways of using them. Some of the exit methods can give you mediocre result. Some are hard to implement but with perseverance you may possibly achieve them with high winning rate, and  Most of the these exit methodologies should be implemented with extra care as it can do harm to your fund if not executed with a good overall plan.
  • Hard Stop-Loss - Success Rate: Poor, many traders have been evangelizing the use of hard stop-loss, but do you know that poorly plan stop-loss is more risky and harmful than a trade with no stop-loss. Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying that a stop-loss is a bad idea. It is actually a good idea to use this but if you use it just because your basis are just simple supports, resistances, or ATR, then you are in big trouble. It should be more than that.
  • Dynamic Stop-Loss - Success Rate: Poor on slow reversal, Excellent in sudden reversal, this is a calculated hidden stop-loss that gets triggered when there is a very quick reversal like the flash crash. The dynamic stop-loss is a proprietary concept by the one who discovered it, so it can not be discussed here. It is a method that can not be implemented manually. The good news is a tool is available online that you can use as a complete exit tool for your scalping. It includes the dynamic stop-loss. You can download it from this link. https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/27235
  • Hedging - Success Rate: Good, in implementing this method, you can use the hedging trade with the same lotsize as the original open trade or you can use higher lotsize. Escaping the hedge is the hardest part. The best tip that I can give you is to plan how you can reach the break-even point then you can decide if you still want to profit from it or close it to free you from stress and just start over again. The first step in escaping the hedge is to analyze again the general direction of the price then take appropriate action to at least reach the break-even point. 
  • Averaging - Success Rate: Good, in this method you have to open more trades at a specific time interval to average profit until it becomes positive. The best way to implement this is by combining it with a very good entry plan that determines the general direction. Do not implement it right away if the analysis of the direction is still aligned with the position. When the trade reverses that's the time you put the averaging to work.
  • Grid - Success Rate: Good, this is somewhat the same with averaging because you also need to open more trades here and you also need to average them. The difference is you don't do it at a specific time. You have to open more trades with a specific distance, so trades are lined up like a grid. The best way to implement this is the same with Averaging.
  • Trail Stop - Success Rate: Good, this is already available in MT4. It is good in preserving your profit when the price moves along the direction of your position. Explore more this feature then you will discover that it does not only save your profit. It does more.
  • Cut Loss - Success Rate: Very Poor, to some of the traders, they panic when a trade goes south. They resort to this when they can no longer think of something to do to save their losing positions. I would say if a trader does this. He doesn't have a complete trading plan. He analyzes only how to enter a trade but doesn't bother to think about how he can complete that trade by planning first how to exit it before opening the trade.
Research more on how you can do the exit methodologies I listed above. Google is your friend. You will not get the exact answer from Google but you will surely get the hint to complete your plan. The best tip that I can give to you for your success is try to combine two or more of these exit methods, you will discover new angles of ideas that you never thought before.

Minggu, 12 November 2017

Why Forex Signals Don't Work

What are Forex Signals? According to Wikipedia "A forex signal is a suggestion for entering a trade on a currency pair, usually at a specific price and time. The signal is generated either by a human analyst or an automated Forex robot supplied to a subscriber of the forex signal service."

How the signals are sent to the clients? Forex signal providers are using different media on sending signals. They usually use one or more of the following; Twitter, FB Messenger, Telegram, test messages, emails, etc.

What are the problems with Forex Signals? 

As you can see in the definition of Wikipedia, a Forex signal is a suggestion for entering a trade on a currency pair at a specific price and time. The problem with this is no matter how good the entry suggestion, many subscribers will not get it right. This is because the signal is all about the Entry Plan. It doesn't mention what kind of Money Management to be used and most importantly, it doesn't tell the Exit Plan applicable to the entry plan. So what subscribers are getting is an incomplete suggestion. Some signal providers are sometimes giving Stop-Loss level as a part of the signal. Yes, SL is an exit plan. But SL is the lamest of all exit plans. If your SL is not a well thought and baseless SL, it is as bad as without SL with no basis. As I've been saying for years now, SL and no-SL are equally risky if you don't know what you are doing.

Another reason why Forex signals don't work is psychology. Traders have different attitudes towards trading. It will create a whole book if we are going to discuss everything :). If a strange Forex entry suggestion is given to a trader. The trader doesn't know what to expect from it. He doesn't know how the entry plan is analyzed. The trader is not prepared for that trading plan. He is not trained how to handle that kind trading plan. So the result of his trade will be erratic. As well as the behavior is most likely erratic. Most of the time, he panics.

So next time that you subscribe to a Forex signal, be sure the provider is giving you the whole package. It should include a money management plan, exit plan, and a clear training on what the signal is all about so you will behave properly on execution.

Minggu, 10 September 2017

The Reality of Trading with Stop-Loss

If you are new to trading and you choose to trade with SL. There are different emotions involved once an SL is hit. no matter how good your strategy on setting SL, sometimes SL will be hit. You have to train yourself to live and accept the reality that sometimes your SL would be hit, or else you will find yourself "Revenge Trading". This is the reason why some traders prefer to trade without SL. KNOW THY SELF. It is the key, then choose the method appropriate for your personality. Once you find yourself, stick for the style you chose for a long time. Master it.

Just remember, trading with or without SL is equally risky if you don't know what you are doing. Perfect your craft.

Sabtu, 26 Agustus 2017

No Stop-Loss and Hedging: Unbeatable Combination?

Search the internet. Google "Forex Hedging". Have you found a clear strategy on how to escape the unmerciful strategy. Most traders who hedge has ended up using Martingale, and eventually get busted in the end. When this topics are seen in the internet, forum, and any social media platform like Facebook. People often ended up blaming the traders who hedge on not doing his best on analyzing the chart before entry, instead of helping out how to end it. Those who would like to help, with the lock of clear system to end up hedged trades, they will just point out support and resistance levels. It may help, but we all know that still that's not a clear way to get rid of the bad situation.

I have seen this all the time when reading online. This made me decide to get back to teaching, but this time I will give it away all for free to those newbies who deserve it and seriously eager to learn. After the Apprentice Program that I just started, I may go back to hibernation again. Unless, my new students become obedient with the whole process. If you are a newbie and want to jump the bandwagon, and you think you have the right attitude to get along with the process, you can just register in this link...   http://eepurl.com/c0QPS5

Now, let's go back to the main topic.

There are two types of trader's behavior in a situation of a losing trade. Those who want to cutloss right away, and those who want to keep up with the fight, and possibly will hedge. To each his own. Both can be a good decision, if you know exactly what to do.

Cutloss - this is for those who don't feel hurt to lose some money. The question to those who do this is... "How can you recover the lost money in a short possible time?". Do you have a plan for that? It is easy to say or do that you will cut loss, but lost money is lost money. Are you doing it just to say that you are doing it properly to feed your ego? Or it is really a part of your exit plan?

Hedge to keep up with the fight - this is for those who don't want to see his account balance to decrease. Admit it or not, there are many traders like this.  Their ego can't handle the feeling that their trade is a losing one. They just can't take it. But with this, the same question applies... "How can you recover from the hedge trades?". Do you do it just to keep up with your ego? Or is it really a part of your exit plan?

Once you answer this to yourself with complete honesty, you will eventually realize that everything else is the least of your problems except your "Exit Plan". Your exit plan will make or break your trades, and not your analysis of your entries. A complete design of an exit plan is what you need before you open a trade. Unfortunately, most of the traders don't give attention to this part of the trading plan. They are thinking that just putting an SL is already a good exit plan, or doing your best to get the direction, putting a tight TP with no SL is a good way to go. I'm sorry to break the news, but these are all misconceptions.

Stop-loss can be used, definitely for your exit plan. Hedging with no stop-loss is also a good way to go. But, there are a few things that you need to think about before you can execute them with high accuracy. Not 100%, but at least with high probability that you will make it a positive trade.

In the advanced part of the Apprentice Training Program, you will learn both. Using SL, and using Hedge with no-SL. These are for free guys, no string attached. If you want to learn this, catch us here...  http://eepurl.com/c0QPS5

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