Ohhh… I didn’t like yesterday. It all started with a whip lower in the Dollar and a sharp rally. At that level in the 5-minute area, the structure was scant and I basically looked at this as a probably Wave i and Wave ii and followed by a Wave a/iii. Well, towards the end of the day we had a deep pullback. This shocked because we have seen a modest Wave -i- and Wave -ii- and followed by a second Wave i and deep Wave ii. It’s not something you’d think of because it implies a firm 5-wave move to form a Wave a- and thus a modestly deep Wave -b-/-iii-… This has been seen in both EURUSD and GBPUSD…
The Aussie also formed a deep Wave ii but hadn’t an earlier deep Wave -i- and Wave -ii-. This provides a convincing argument for these three pairs. USDCHF merely made a stronger rally than I had suspected but then a pullback while USDJPY also saw an approach to a key break level but hasn’t broken. Watch for the levels and the alternatives in the report.
Finally, in EURJPY, while there is room for a pullback higher, frankly, the next target is quite some way away…
This could be a firm day…
Have a great weekend
Ian Copsey
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